Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.036249 0.039629 0.043187 0.047215 0.051651 0.056391 0.061841
2026-02-08 0.029177 0.033872 0.039141 0.045505 0.052999 0.061560 0.072110
2026-02-15 0.024296 0.029652 0.035993 0.044082 0.054163 0.066366 0.082330
2026-02-22 0.021467 0.027344 0.034629 0.044372 0.057133 0.073380 0.095792
2026-03-01 0.018589 0.024552 0.032238 0.042941 0.057573 0.077037 0.105159
2026-03-08 0.015889 0.021649 0.029327 0.040399 0.056108 0.077824 0.110505
2026-03-15 0.014199 0.019905 0.027746 0.039426 0.056577 0.081148 0.119563
2026-03-22 0.013281 0.019123 0.027389 0.040083 0.059347 0.087904 0.134224
2026-03-29 0.012493 0.018438 0.027079 0.040733 0.062098 0.094801 0.149717
2026-04-05 0.011525 0.017392 0.026129 0.040295 0.063087 0.099011 0.161287
2026-04-12 0.010682 0.016459 0.025259 0.039876 0.064020 0.103145 0.173052
2026-04-19 0.009844 0.015462 0.024201 0.039047 0.064175 0.105965 0.182784
2026-04-26 0.008946 0.014318 0.022847 0.037660 0.063344 0.107166 0.190027
2026-05-03 0.008201 0.013368 0.021738 0.036593 0.062967 0.109122 0.198868
2026-05-10 0.007544 0.012513 0.020720 0.035590 0.062602 0.111043 0.207828
2026-05-17 0.007181 0.012127 0.020457 0.035877 0.064556 0.117305 0.225712
2026-05-24 0.006617 0.011351 0.019463 0.034765 0.063824 0.118485 0.233682
2026-05-31 0.005961 0.010369 0.018038 0.032750 0.061211 0.115832 0.233565
2026-06-07 0.005553 0.009801 0.017313 0.031978 0.060913 0.117635 0.242862
2026-06-14 0.005367 0.009621 0.017276 0.032506 0.063196 0.124758 0.264252
2026-06-21 0.005192 0.009449 0.017238 0.033025 0.065499 0.132121 0.286983
2026-06-28 0.004915 0.009068 0.016782 0.032676 0.065987 0.135729 0.301652
2026-07-05 0.004661 0.008714 0.016350 0.032342 0.066470 0.139359 0.316757